微商软件推广团队:现在开始一百年之内的十大生活预言：BBC新闻

从现在开始百年之内会发生什么，会有什么样预言在我们的生活中发生，请大家七嘴八舌起来。

Ten top predictions for life 100 years from now

从现在开始百年之内的十大生活预言

Earlier this week we asked readers for their predictions of life in 100 years time. Inspired by ten 100-year predictions made by American civil engineer John Elfreth Watkins in 1900, many of you wrote in with your vision of the world in 2112.

本周早先时候我们问过读者有关他们对将来100年时间里的预言。在1900年美国土木工程师John Elfreth Watkins做过的百年10大预言的鼓舞下，你们中许多人都写下了自己愿景的2112年的世界。

Many of the "strange, almost impossible" predictions made by Watkins came true.

而许多Watkins做出的那些＂奇怪，几乎不可能＂的预言都已成为现实。

Here, futurologist Ian Pearson offers his thoughts on whether readers' predictions will fare so well.

这里，未来学家 伊恩皮尔森 提供了自己的想法来说明读者们的预言是否真能实现。

1. Oceans will be extensively farmed and not just for fish (Jim 300)

1. 海洋将被极度开发利用而并不仅是为了得到鱼（Jim 300）

We will need to feed 10 billion people and nature can't keep up with demand, so we will need much more ocean farming for fish. But algae farming is also on the way for renewable energy, and maybe even for growth of feedstock (raw materials) or resource extraction via GM seaweed or algae.

我们将需要喂养100亿人口而自然不能承受这种需求，因此我们将需要更多的海洋来放养鱼类。但是藻类放养也即将成为获得可再生能源的一种方法，还有可能种植草料（原料）并且通过转基因海草或藻类来提取资源。

Likelihood: 10/10

可能性：10/10

2. We will all be wired to computers to make our brains work faster (Dev 2)

2. 我们所有人都将被连接到电脑上使我们的大脑工作更迅速（Dev 2）

We can expect this as soon as 2050 for many people. By 2075 most people in the developed world will use machine augmentation of some sort for their brains and, by the end of the century, pretty much everyone will. If someone else does this you will have to compete.

我们最早在2050前就可以期待它的大众化。等到2075年发达国家中许多人将使用放大器之类的机械装置为他们大脑使用，并到这个世纪末几乎每个人都会这样。如果某人这样做了你不得不跟他们竞争。

Likelihood: 10/10

可能性：10/10

3. We will have the ability to communicate through thought transmission (Dev 2)

3. 我们将有能力通过思想传输来交流 （Dev 2）

Transmission will be just as easy as other forms of brain augmentation. Picking up thoughts and relaying them to another brain will not be much harder than storing them on the net.

这种传输将和大脑增容之类的形式是一样简单。接收思想并把他们传输到另一个大脑将不会比在网络上存储它们困难多少。

Likelihood: 10/10

可能性：10/10

4. We will have sussed nuclear fusion (Kennys_Heroes)

4. 我们将利用核聚变 （Kennys_Heroes）

This is likely by 2045-2050 and almost certain by 2100. It's widely predicted that we will achieve this. What difference it makes will depend on what other energy technologies we have. We might also see a growth in shale gas or massive solar energy facilities. I don't think that wind power will be around.

这个预言可能会发生在2045-2050年间并且几乎肯定会在2100年前成为现实。大家都预计我们将会实现这个预言。不同的是这还依赖于我们使用了其他什么样的能源科技。我们也许将看到页岩煤气或超大太阳能工厂的增多。我不相信到时候大家还能用到风能。

Likelihood: 10/10

可能性：10/10

5. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)

5. 感谢DNA和人工智能工程，我们将创造不可思议的永生智慧人类（game_over）

It is more likely that direct brain links using electronics will achieve this, but GM will help a lot by increasing longevity - keeping people alive until electronic immortality technology is freely available at reasonable cost.

更有可能的是使用电子设备直接连接大脑将实现这个预言，但通过转基因增加寿命将提供跟多帮助——保证人们能活到电子永生科技在可接受的价格内得到自由使用之时。

Likelihood: 9/10

可能性：9/10

6. One single worldwide currency (from Kennys_Heroes)

6. 唯一的世界货币（from Kennys_Heroes）

This is very plausible. We are already seeing electronic currency that can be used anywhere, and this trend will continue. It is quite likely that there will be only a few regional currencies by the middle of the century and worldwide acceptance of a global electronic currency. This will gradually mean the others fall out of use and only one will left by the end of the century.

这是非常可行的。我们已经看到无处不在使用的电子货币，而这个趋势仍将继续。到本世纪中叶将很有可能会只有少数几个区域性货币并且有国际上接受了的全球电子货币。这也就逐渐意味着其他货币将退出并在世纪末只剩下一种。

Likelihood: 8/10

可能性：8/10

7. Antarctica will be "open for business" (Dev 2)

7. 南极洲将“开门营业”（Dev 2）

The area seems worth keeping as a natural wilderness so I am hesitant here, but I do expect that pressure will eventually mean that some large areas will be used commercially for resources. It should be possible to do so without damaging nature there if the technology is good enough, and this will probably be a condition of exploration rights.

这个区域似乎应该作为一个自然荒野来维持因此我感到很踌躇，但是我期待着这样的压力也将最终意味着一些大块区域将作为商业性资源使用。如果科技够发达的话应该可以做到的是不破坏自然的开发，此外这将可能成为取得开发权的一个条件。

Likelihood: 8/10

可能性：8/10

8. California will lead the break-up of the US (Dev 2)

8. 加州将导致美国的解体 （Dev 2）

There are some indications already that California wants to split off and such pressures tend to build over time. It is hard to see this waiting until the end of the century. Maybe an East Coast cluster will want to break off too. Pressures come from the enormous differences in wealth generation capability, and people not wanting to fund others if they can avoid it.

已经有迹象显示加州要分裂出去，这种压力往往会随着时间的推移而积累起来。它的发生很可能都等不到直到本世纪末。也许东海岸的集群也希望被打破。这些压力来自于财富创造能力的巨大差异，此外人们只要能避免总不愿意给其他人任何资金。

Likelihood: 8/10

可能性：8/10

9. Eighty per cent of the world will have gay marriage (Paul)

9. 同性婚姻将占世界婚姻的百分之八十 （Paul）

This seems inevitable to those of us in the West and is likely to mean different kinds of marriages being available to everyone. Gay people might pick different options from heterosexual people, but everyone will be allowed any option. Some regions will be highly resistant though because of strong religious influences, so it isn't certain. Increasing longevity is the key - if you marry at 20 and live to well over 100, that is far too long a commitment. People will want marriages that aren't necessarily forever, but don't bankrupt them when they end.

对我们这些在西方的人这似乎是不可避免的，并可能意味着有不同类型的婚姻提供给大家。同性恋人可能会从异性恋的人中选择配偶，但每个人都将有权选择任何婚姻。但由于强烈的宗教影响有些地区将极力反对，所以这也没有定数。增加我们的寿命才是关键 - 如果你20岁结婚，活到超过100岁，而这么长时间对保证这个承诺来说太久。人们会希望那种不一定非是永久的婚姻，但当他们想结束时不至于让他们破产。

Likelihood: 8/10

可能性：8/10

10. We will be able to control the weather (mariebee_)

10. 我们将能够控制天气（mariebee_）

There is already some weather control technology for mediating tornadoes, making it rain and so on, and thanks to climate change concerns, a huge amount of knowledge is being gleaned on how weather works. We will probably have technology to be able to control weather when we need to. It won't necessarily be cheap enough to use routinely and is more likely to be used to avoid severe damage in key areas.

已经有一些缓和龙卷风的，使天下雨等天气控制技术，应该感谢对气候变化的关注，大量有关天气如何运作的知识正在被一点点的收集。我们将可能能够控制天气的技术在我们需要时。它肯定不会便宜到让我们来常规使用，而更有可能被用来避免关键区域受到严重灾害。

Likelihood: 8/10

可能性：8/10