master budget:2012年：世界面临的悬念

2011年12月20日 12:21:57
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December 17,, in Geneva international conference center, the world trade organization the 8 th ministerial meeting concluded.The xinhua news agency YuYangShe
Xinhuanet Beijing on December 20 report
Editor's note: in 2011, the great changes in the international situation has deep effect, this makes people believe, 2012 will still be an unusual year.Struggle or compromise, recovery or decline, peace or war, the arrival of the New Year, the parties are seeking ways to power, choice, deal with it.
2011 world stirring, left his unique historical mark.The world of 2012 will be how to develop?New, the many important suspense to be in the New Year opened the answer.
A suspense: the world economy downside risk to have how old?
The world economic recovery of stability uncertainty, make people worry that New Year to the world economic situation is complicated.
The United Nations on December 1, issued the 2012 world economic situation and prospects report think: the 2012 world economic growth from 2.8% this year to 2.6%, far below the predicted 3.6% six months ago.In 2012 the world economy trends affect the main factors are: some major economy growth down, some countries sovereign debt crisis is outstanding, emerging market countries facing external demand atrophy, internal challenges such as inflation, various global form of protectionism significantly increased.In addition, the international and regional hot spots to break out, food security, energy security, and climate change, major natural disasters global challenges increasingly.

The suspense 2: Europe debt crisis can be contained?
The European sovereign debt crisis affect the world economy has become the major uncertainty.In 2012 the euro zone will have a wave debts peak.Statistics show that the eurozone government next year to be repaid more than 1.1 trillion euros (about 1.4696 trillion dollars) to the long-term and short-term debt, but only the first half of next year Italy, France and Germany, the three countries due to the claim of 519 billion euros (about $693.4 billion).
The European Union in early December held this year last summit.The conference will cope with the European sovereign debt problem, strengthen the internal management of Europe on the new measures.The European Union leaders say that the move towards the establishment of financial alliance, ensure the euro lasting stability have made an important step.But there are also pointed out, the eu measures is difficult to achieve the goal of short-term save the city, 2012 European debt crisis could have to market confidence is still insufficient.

November 20, Syrian President BaShaEr supporters rally in the capital, Damascus.The xinhua news agency Yin rich ancient perturbation
The suspense three: Syria crisis how to evolution?
In 2011, west Asia north Africa situation of the historic changes.Year-end, Syria as the region a new focus of the situation.In 2012, Syria crisis by peaceful means or eventually force to solve?Syria will encounter foreign intervention force?
From began in March 2011, Syria in some domestic massive anti-government demonstrations, and since then the situation gradually from a peaceful protest turned to violence.In 2012, the Syrian President BaShaEr hand needs to deal with the challenges of the opposition, on the other hand, to bear external pressure.If internal and external intervention into upheaval will no upgrade is the focus of attention.

December 17,, a peddler in the Iraqi capital, Baghdad, at the center of the city BuShaEr JunYongPin sell in the market.The last batch of U.S. forces in Iraq is to complete evacuation before the end of this year, JunYongPin Baghdad a booming business market, local residents rushed to buy American JunYongPin, for this moment in history of left.The local market as the military from the camp, there are other countries reproductions.The xinhua news agency ZhangNingShe
The suspense four: the United States could hold the Iraq and Afghanistan situation?
The United States are anxious to an early end to the war in Iraq and Afghanistan long war, free from war mire.But the United States to hold Iraq and Afghanistan faces many challenges of the situation.
The United States from Iraq by the end of 2011 all American forces, Iraq war off the beaten track.The United States has started to withdraw from Afghanistan, and plan before the end of the year in 2014 all withdraw from Afghanistan.The United States did not realize start the two wars strategic goals.At present, Iraq and Afghanistan seriously damaged national strength, the social and economic development is slow;National unity situation is very weak, and full faction;Security situation is difficult to control, terrorist attacks and armed conflict constantly.The leadership and the United States, there are many differences between and clearance.The United States to be in these two countries to establish stable pro-western regime problem very much.The two wars cost the United States to the expected and are paltry casualties price and war cost.

On the day the Iranian military through domestic several television has broadcast Iran air defense forces in Iraq claimed that eastern border area on a shot down RQ-170 the United States the uav's picture.
The suspense five: the nuclear issue is war is and?
In 2011 the Iran nuclear issue increase.Israel threatened to hit, America and Europe have sanctions, Iran has said will not compromise.Recently, around Iran to gain of a us invisible recon drone, both sides and launched its competition.Iran and the United States and other western countries in the relationship between the slump.
2012 west and Iran have more intense could be on the game.Iran to defend their right to the peaceful use of nuclear energy as a core national interest, it's not very likely that in the United States and other western countries under strong pressure applied to give up its nuclear program, and western sanctions will only make nuclear talks about Iraq more difficult.The nuclear problem is war is and, extremely hard to predict.
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