11月20日重大事件:楼市·股市·汇市·债市——从四大市场展望中国经济

Xinhua viewpoint: the property market · · · bond market--the stock market currencies from the four big market outlook China's economy

Xinhuanet Beijing on December 19, property market regulation in late February, the stock market downturn test pressure consolidation, agitate currencies undercurrent, bond market innovation lagged to view, in 2011, the "economic barometer," said the four big market there were flashes, also highlight the difficulties in the policy.

In the domestic economy structure adjustment into the critical period, the world situation of unrest, four big market situation how to evolution is bearing the close attention to people, but also of the control of the government of the ability to test.

    Housing market: regulation "not be moved" the rational regression is still need more time

The central economic work conference stressed that insist on real estate control policies don't shake, promote house prices reasonable regression, speed up the common commodity housing construction, expand the effective supply, this let the people to the house the ice continues to loose quite have the expectation.

This year, the housing market regulation and countries in order to control inflation as the core of the macro economic tightening measures are useful in the early part of the "kingdom of article 8", 限购, be restricted to loan and price under the measures, "the repeatedly repeatedly rise" in the housing market to preliminary "undertone to".

October is considered as the property market divide that month, 70 major cities price average annulus comparing index years first appeared negative growth;In November, a property market "thermometer," said the national real estate development boom index 0.4% lower than in October, than last year the corresponding period fell 3.33%, and the lowest since nearly 27 months.

The central bank to report points out, investment in real estate development growth highs, real estate development enterprise funds tightens, land market price volume together down, real estate loan growth fell back, house prices inflection point first emerged.

"The real estate market the next will be totally different, and momentum of development too fast and have the time to say goodbye to this windfall profits."China vanke Co. President YuLiang said.

China index, vice President of the institute ChenSheng think, the adjustment may mean: house prices "only a don't fall", investment "only earn not to compensate" and house prices "repeatedly repeatedly the rose" of end."In the implementation of continuous control at the same time, must be tough to break deadlock, especially as early as possible to meet the market a lot since live purchase and reasonable improve the needs of the person that buy a house."

But many city "volume remains lower" and "cuts will cause snapping up" coexisted situation shows that market wait-and-see atmosphere is still strong, market expectations have not fully adjusted in place, some areas 限购 policy appeared in disguised form, become loose, show that real estate is still very tough mission control, house prices from "reasonable return" there is distance.

Security for the current real estate market of the house is an important component of the property market will still be next year "grand opera", but how to regulate guarantee quality, distribution, supporting room and withdrawal mechanism, will be for the next security room construction higher demands are proposed.